Maritime and Air Freight Rates Double Due to Middle East Crisis
Container freight rates surged 30% since US-Iran conflict. Air freight doubled or tripled prices in two weeks. Middle East routes up 40.8% in one week.
Freight prices are exploding π¦πΈ
If you import or export goods, get ready: maritime and air freight rates are climbing to levels we haven't seen since 2022.
The cause: the US-Iran conflict that blocked the Strait of Hormuz and sent oil prices soaring.
Maritime Freight: +30% in Two Weeks
The Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) β the most important container rate indicator β reached 1,710.35 points on March 13, 2026.
That's:
- +14.9% in one week
- +28.3% since February (before US airstrikes on Iran)
- The highest level in 8 months
Most Affected Routes
According to SCFI (week of March 7-13):
| Route | Weekly Increase | Current Price |
|---|---|---|
| Middle East | +40.8% | $3,220/TEU |
| USA West Coast | +$309 | $2,249/FEU |
| USA East Coast | +$394 | $3,111/FEU |
TEU: Twenty-foot Equivalent Unit (20-foot container)
FEU: Forty-foot Equivalent Unit (40-foot container)
Europe Also Rising
The Drewry World Container Index rose 8% this week to $2,123 per 40-foot container.
Asia-Europe routes:
- Shanghai β Rotterdam: +19% β $2,443/40ft
- Shanghai β Genoa: +10% β $3,120/40ft
- Shanghai β Los Angeles: +4% β $2,503/40ft
- Shanghai β New York: +3% β $3,080/40ft
Why Maritime Rates Are Rising
1. Longer Routes
Many ships are avoiding the Red Sea (conflict zone) and going around Africa via the Cape of Good Hope.
This adds:
- 7-14 days to transit time
- Thousands of extra nautical miles
- More fuel consumption (which is very expensive due to the conflict)
2. Emergency Fuel Surcharges
Several shipping lines (Maersk, CMA CGM, MSC) announced emergency surcharges due to increased fuel costs.
3. Reduced Available Capacity
Some ships are stranded in the Persian Gulf because they can't exit the Strait of Hormuz. This reduces global transport capacity.
Air Freight: Doubles or Triples Prices
The air freight situation is even worse.
According to reports from TBS News and India Shipping News:
Rates Before vs. Now (last 2 weeks)
| Destination | Before | Now | Increase |
|---|---|---|---|
| Europe | $2.0 - $2.2/kg | $5.5 - $6.0/kg | +173% |
| United States | $4.5 - $5.0/kg | $7.0 - $8.0/kg | +60% |
Why Air Freight Is Rising
- Reduced capacity: Many airlines canceled flights over the Middle East for security
- Longer routes: Flights still operating have to detour around conflict zones
- Expensive jet fuel: Jet fuel rose along with crude oil
- High demand: Many importers switched from ship to air to avoid delays
Impact on Domestic Trucking
How does this affect you if you're a trucker in the US?
1. More Drayage Freight
With more containers arriving (though at high prices), there's more drayage work β moving containers from ports to warehouses.
2. Lower Inventories
Many companies are reducing inventories to avoid paying expensive freight. This means smaller, more frequent shipments = more short trips.
3. Price Pressure
If your customers are paying 2-3 times more for maritime/air freight, they'll try to renegotiate your domestic rates to compensate.
Defend your rates β diesel also went up ($4.86/gallon average).
What's Coming
Analysts expect freight rates to stay high until mid-2026, unless:
- The Middle East conflict resolves
- The Strait of Hormuz fully reopens
- Oil prices drop
For now, prepare for higher costs across the supply chain.
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- Reduce idling: Go Green APU (gogreenapu.com) saves $500-800/month
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Source: SCFI, Drewry, TBS News, FreightWaves
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